Panthers try to keep rolling in visit to Avalanche

Hockey Betting Lines

03/11/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Florida Panthers will try to win four straight games for the first time this season when they visit the Colorado Avalanche tonight at the Pepsi Center.

The Panthers come into this game six points back of a playoff spot in the Eastern Conference but appear to be peaking at the right time. They are coming off of a victory over Minnesota on Tuesday in which they held the Wild to a Florida franchise record-low 11 shots while picking up their first victory versus the team since 2001.

It didn't look that way early, as the Wild scored a pair of first-period goals. However, Michael Frolik and Cory Stillman scored in the third period, with Frolik lighting the lamp for the fourth time in three games and Stillman forcing overtime with 9:20 left in the frame. Stillman then scored the lone tally of the shootout session in a 3-2 victory, the 500th in franchise history for Florida.

"It's though to come back, but they didn't get a lot of shots -- going into the third period we had only given up five shots," said Stillman. "We continued to put pucks on the net and knew good things were going to happen."

Tomas Vokoun needed to make just nine saves while stopping all four skaters in the shootout for the Panthers, who haven't won four straight since a seven- game run from March 2-16, 2008. Florida also halted a six-game skid on the road by winning the opener of a three-game trip, picking up its first victory as the guest since January 14.

While the Panthers are fighting to remain in the playoff race, the Avalanche are losing the chase for home ice in the first round. Colorado dropped a 6-4 test to Northwest Division-leading Vancouver on Tuesday -- blowing a pair of three-goal leads -- to fall five points back of the Canucks in the division. The Avs also trail Los Angeles by three points for fifth overall in the West.

"It was a bad game," said Paul Stastny, who matched his career high of 50 assists first set as a rookie in 2006-07 in the loss . "It was a good first period, but after that mental lapses hurt us."

Colorado, which has lost four of its last six, got a pair of goals from rookie Matt Duchene on Tuesday, and he leads all first-year skaters with 23 goals and 47 points.

Chris Stewart also extended his recent hot play with a goal, giving him eight goals and eight assists over his last nine games, while Peter Mueller scored to give him a pair of tallies and four helpers in four games since being acquired in a trade from Phoenix.

Craig Anderson racked up 26 saves in the losing effort, just Colorado's second in its last eight home games.

The Avalanche are hosting the Panthers for the first time since 2007, with the last three meetings between the teams all taking place in Florida. That includes a 6-5 shootout win by the Panthers at home on December 2, their second straight win in the series.

Stephen Weiss had a hat trick for Florida in that game and scored the lone goal in the shootout, while Scott Clemmensen made 29 saves. Stastny had a goal and three assists for the Avs, Duchene had a pair of goals and an assist and Stewart notched a goal and two helpers.

Anderson made 39 saves before exiting in overtime with a neck injury suffered when Florida's Keith Ballard crashed into him. Anderson, who spent the previous three seasons as a backup with the Panthers, missed the next four games but will make his 22nd straight start tonight.

Florida has lost three of its last four in Colorado, where it hasn't won since January 2, 2003.

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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?

The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.

While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.

For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.

1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.

2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.

How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.

Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.

Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.

How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).

Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.

Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.

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