Quality Road headlines Met Mile

Horseracing Betting Lines

05/28/2010 - Elmont, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Horse of the Year candidate Quality Road heads a field of eight older horses for Monday's $500,000 Metropolitan Handicap (Met Mile) at Belmont Park. The Met Mile has a scheduled post-time of 5:50 p.m. (et).

Quality Road, second in the current NTRA Thoroughbred Poll, has drawn post seven with John Velazquez again in the saddle. The four-year-old colt is owned by Edward Evans and trained by Todd Pletcher.

Perfect in two starts this year, Quality Road has not run since winning the Donn Handicap in February at Gulfstream Park. In January, he captured the Hal's Hope Stakes at the south Florida track.

"You want to make sure they are ready to run," Pletcher said. "This is a tough spot, but we think we know him well enough and know that he's run well fresh enough times that we have an idea of what he needs to be ready."

In 2009 as a three-year-old, Quality Road was on his way to the Kentucky Derby until an injury put him off the trail. He won the Fountain of Youth Stakes and Florida Derby at Gulfstream.

He returned with a victory in the Amsterdam Stakes at Saratoga and was third to Summer Bird in the Travers. The colt ended 2009 with a second-place finish behind Summer Bird in the Jockey Club Gold Cup at Belmont Park. In his career Quality Road has won six of nine starts for more than $1.3 million.

Westchester Handicap winner Le Grand Cru will start from the outside post next to Quality Road with Cornelio Velasquez riding. The five-year-old is trained by Allen Jerkens for Judson Streicher.

Le Grand Cru has just the one win this year in five starts and finished sixth to Quality Road in the Hal's Hope. In his career the five-year-old has earned $433,578 with five wins in 18 starts.

"It looks like it's going to be a really tough race," noted assistant trainer Fernando Abreu, "but our horse is doing well."

Trainer Derek Ryan will send Musket Man over from Monmouth Park for the Met Mile. The four-year-old colt, owned by Eric Fein, will be ridden by Ramon Dominguez from post three.

Musket Man is coming off a third-place finish in the Churchill Downs on Kentucky Derby Day. He won the Super Stakes at Tampa Bay Downs in February and was second to Warrior's Reward in the Carter Hadicap at Aqueduct in April.

With wins in the Illinois and Tampa Bay Derbies last year, Musket Man has earnings of just over $1 million with six wins in 11 career starts.

Here is the complete field for the Met Mile in post position order: Convocation, Kent Desormeaux; Tizway, Rajiv Maragh; Musket Man, Ramon Dominguez; Warrior's Reward, Calvin Borel; Kensei, Edgar Prado; You and I Forever, Javier Castellano; Quality Road, John Velazquez and Le Grand Cru, Cornelio Velasquez.

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Super Bowl 2009 Betting

Super Bowl 2009 Betting propositions

Underdog bettors love the Super Bowl and, history suggests, the underdogs love them back. And the big dogs bite harder.

Even so, there is a warning in store for Super Bowl gamblers who must love dogs: The Arizona Cardinals Super Bowl betting lines might not be enough of a Cinderella to make it worth your while.

Although the Cardinals were widely panned as one of the worst division winners and least playoff-worthy teams in recent memory, their trip to Super Bowl XLIII Jan. 31 in Tampa against the Pittsburgh Steelers Super Bowl betting lines comes with a little more respect from the oddsmakers than you might imagine. They are a 7-point underdog at most sports books.

If you count yourself among those who covet the big dog in the big game, this isn’t exactly great news. You should have been hoping for more points. This is because the facts show that the bigger the dog, the better the bet in the Super Bowl.

Case in point: Over the past 13 seasons, double-figure underdogs in the Super Bowl are 4-0-1 ATS and have won the past three outright. In fact, the last double-digit chalk to do the deed for bettors was the 1995 San Francisco 49ers, who managed to beat the astounding 19-point spot afforded backers of the San Diego Chargers in the 49-26 romp in Super Bowl XXIX.

By contrast, 7-point favorites are 2-1-1 ATS in the same span, the last such contest resulting a cover grinded out by the Colts in their 29-17 win over the Bears two seasons ago in Super Bowl XLI.

In 2004, the Patriots failed to cover the number in their 32-29 triumph over the Carolina Panthers in Super Bowl props while the Rams and Titans gave everyone a refund in 2000 after the Rams posted a 23-16 win as a seven-point favorite.

So while Arizona’s run has included impressive upsets as a 10-point road underdog to the Carolina Panthers and Sunday’s 32-25 win in the NFC championship game to the 4-point favored Philadelphia Eagles, their long-shot story lacks a bit of the David vs. Goliath storyline of past Super Bowl underdogs.

While the seven-point spread represents a significant gap in the perception of strength between the two teams, it is far from monumental. For example, last season the Giants were the wild-card afterthought turned road-warrior buzzsaw, with stunning wins over the Buccaneers, Cowboys and Packers to earn their place in the Super Bowl.

There, they played spoiler to New England’s bid to become the first 19-0 team in NFL history and cemented their place in sports betting lore with a 17-14 win as a 12.5-point underdog.

In other words, the Cardinals appear to have their work cut out for them as a mid-range underdog. But in homage to the spread beaters who have come before them, here is a brief look back at recent colossal upsets in the Super Bowl:

SB XLII -- 2008 -- New York Giants 17, New England Patriots 14 (Giants +12.5) – Eli Manning’s 13-yard touchdown pass to Plaxico Burress in the final minute clinched the historic upset for the Giants, who used a masterful defensive plan to slow down Tom Brady and the previously undefeated New England Patriots.

XXXVI -- 2002 -- Patriots 20, Rams 17 (Patriots +14) – This was the coming out party for the aforementioned Brady, who went from obscure sixth-round draft pick to Super Bowl hero in one fell swoop. He led the game-winning drive in the final minute – eschewing analyst John Madden’s advice to take a knee and play for overtime – leading to Adam Vinatieri’s memorable 48-yard field goal that split the uprights as time expired.

XXXII 1998 Broncos 31, Packers 24 (Denver +12) – The first of John Elway’s two consecutive Super Bowl titles to put an end to his Hall of Fame career was an upset for the ages. The Broncos used the determination of Elway and a 157-yard, three-touchdown performance from Terrell Davis to turn back Brett Favre and the heavily favored Packers.

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